Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.191118 0.219544 0.251782 0.291264 0.338597 0.393876 0.463844
2025-07-20 0.151030 0.188873 0.236592 0.302143 0.391367 0.510856 0.686965
2025-07-27 0.125909 0.167515 0.224281 0.309471 0.437853 0.630663 0.955672
2025-08-03 0.109595 0.153099 0.216311 0.318341 0.485994 0.764565 1.296121
2025-08-10 0.096380 0.140009 0.206724 0.321127 0.523525 0.891194 1.677529
2025-08-17 0.085894 0.128945 0.197693 0.321928 0.556599 1.019039 2.121133
2025-08-24 0.077063 0.118970 0.188431 0.319840 0.583012 1.141768 2.617751
2025-08-31 0.069386 0.109721 0.178767 0.314754 0.601718 1.254083 3.154101
2025-09-07 0.064848 0.105109 0.176367 0.322777 0.649530 1.450153 4.055762
2025-09-14 0.059135 0.097703 0.167767 0.316625 0.664161 1.569915 4.810563
2025-09-21 0.055279 0.093156 0.163850 0.319420 0.700523 1.762872 5.992609
2025-09-28 0.051316 0.087953 0.157944 0.316759 0.722716 1.925264 7.217163
2025-10-05 0.048652 0.084979 0.156224 0.323620 0.773077 2.203637 9.321884
2025-10-12 0.046289 0.082339 0.154861 0.331190 0.828422 2.531562 12.192942
2025-10-19 0.044085 0.079773 0.153306 0.338029 0.884306 2.897021 15.981879
2025-10-26 0.042288 0.077827 0.152824 0.347523 0.952027 3.356412 21.518920
2025-11-02 0.040179 0.075021 0.150065 0.350516 1.000092 3.768130 27.867629
2025-11-09 0.038122 0.072123 0.146741 0.351376 1.041669 4.184260 35.744756
2025-11-16 0.036052 0.069007 0.142545 0.349045 1.071515 4.568837 44.927246
2025-11-23 0.033971 0.065686 0.137496 0.343383 1.087489 4.895912 55.037905
2025-11-30 0.032882 0.064449 0.137340 0.352310 1.164710 5.661257 77.640054
2025-12-07 0.031042 0.061380 0.132326 0.345463 1.175103 6.016899 95.136305
2025-12-14 0.029845 0.059671 0.130553 0.348574 1.230223 6.747361 130.035083